v0.3.0: scoring assembly, API serving, Docker, ownership data, factuality feasibility

- orient: party-mean speech embeddings -> axis sign + reliability flag (ADR-0003) - score/run: deterministic ratings.json + stories artifact; report: evidence pages - serve: stdlib read-only API (/health /outlets /ratings /stories /manifests /evidence), CORS, path-traversal-safe - Docker: CPU-torch image (1.23GB) w/ baked model for offline recompute; compose; CI builds every push, publishes GHCR from main - outlets.yaml: sourced ownership data per outlet (verified flags); outlets doc regenerated w/ ownership columns - docs/feasibility-factuality.md: anchor analysis, F1/F2/F3 architecture, gate - fix: torch as direct dep pinned to CPU index (image was pulling CUDA, 6.7GB)
2026-07-10 07:00:52 +00:00
parent a7bd9b8c90
commit 4d9200a785
44 changed files with 3845 additions and 296 deletions
@@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
+.git
+.venv
+data
+releases
+__pycache__
+*.pyc
+.pytest_cache
+.ruff_cache
+.github
+docs
+tests
+scripts
@@ -16,6 +16,32 @@ jobs:
      - name: tests (includes docs gates - readability, glossary, decision-block lint)
        run: uv run pytest -q

+  docker:
+    # image must always build; publish to GHCR only from main
+    runs-on: ubuntu-latest
+    permissions:
+      contents: read
+      packages: write
+    steps:
+      - uses: actions/checkout@v4
+      - uses: docker/setup-buildx-action@v3
+      - name: log in to GHCR
+        if: github.ref == 'refs/heads/main' && github.event_name == 'push'
+        uses: docker/login-action@v3
+        with:
+          registry: ghcr.io
+          username: ${{ github.actor }}
+          password: ${{ secrets.GITHUB_TOKEN }}
+      - name: build (and push from main)
+        uses: docker/build-push-action@v6
+        with:
+          context: .
+          push: ${{ github.ref == 'refs/heads/main' && github.event_name == 'push' }}
+          tags: |
+            ghcr.io/sudolulo/tiltmeter:latest
+          cache-from: type=gha
+          cache-to: type=gha,mode=max
+
  docs-sync:
    # Code and config may not change without a docs change in the same range.
    runs-on: ubuntu-latest
@@ -8,6 +8,45 @@ requires a version bump and, if it changes methodology, a decision record in

 ## [Unreleased]

+## [0.3.0] - 2026-07-10
+
+### Added
+
+- Axis orientation (`orient.py`): party-mean speech embeddings decide the
+  axis sign (negative = left, positive = right); agreement strength is
+  published and weak orientation is flagged `reliable: false` (ADR-0003).
+- Scoring assembly (`tiltmeter run`): manifest → deterministic ratings.json
+  (schema_version 1, no timestamps — reruns are byte-identical) + per-outlet
+  evidence pages with the axis-distinguishing stories, real headlines,
+  covered/skipped marks, neighbors, and CIs.
+- Read-only HTTP API (`tiltmeter serve`, stdlib, CORS enabled): /health,
+  /ratings, /ratings/latest, /ratings/{id}, /manifests/{id},
+  /evidence/{id}/… — tiltmeter is a data layer; visualization is a separate
+  consumer's job (ADR-0003).
+- Docker: reproducible image with the pinned embedding model baked in
+  (offline recomputation), compose file serving the API on :8477; CI builds
+  the image on every push and publishes ghcr.io/sudolulo/tiltmeter from main.
+- First dry run on a one-day snapshot: pipeline exercised end to end; output
+  correctly self-flagged orientation as unreliable (ρ = +0.18, 63 stories).
+- Outlet ownership data in `config/outlets.yaml`: owner, structure type, and
+  control notes per outlet, each entry carrying source URL, retrieval date,
+  and verified flag (same integrity rules as reference ratings). Served at
+  `/outlets`; shown in the generated outlets table. Context only — never a
+  scoring input.
+- Story-cluster artifact (`stories-{snapshot}.json`) and `/stories/{id}`
+  endpoint: the side-by-side coverage primitive for consumer apps — who
+  covered each story and how each outlet headlined it.
+- Factuality feasibility study (`docs/feasibility-factuality.md`): the anchor
+  problem, five candidate anchors evaluated, proposed F1/F2/F3 architecture
+  (process reliability / corroboration / resolvable claims), naming rule, and
+  validation gate. Planning only; no factuality signal is implemented.
+
+### Fixed
+
+- Docker image pulled CUDA torch via the transitive dependency (6.7GB image);
+  torch is now a direct dependency pinned to the CPU wheel index — image is
+  1.23GB and runs anywhere.
+
 ## [0.2.0] - 2026-07-10

 ### Added
@@ -0,0 +1,34 @@
+# tiltmeter: the whole pipeline in one reproducible image.
+# The pinned embedding model is baked in at build time, so a container can
+# recompute any release fully offline — part of the reproducibility story,
+# not just packaging convenience.
+#
+# Default command serves the read-only API over /app/releases; every other
+# pipeline stage is available as a one-shot command, e.g.:
+#   docker compose run --rm tiltmeter ingest
+#   docker compose run --rm tiltmeter run --manifest releases/manifest-<id>.json
+
+FROM python:3.13-slim
+
+COPY --from=ghcr.io/astral-sh/uv:0.7 /uv /uvx /bin/
+
+WORKDIR /app
+ENV UV_LINK_MODE=copy UV_COMPILE_BYTECODE=1
+
+# dependency layer first: rebuilds only when the lockfile changes
+COPY pyproject.toml uv.lock README.md ./
+RUN --mount=type=cache,target=/root/.cache/uv uv sync --frozen --no-dev --no-install-project
+
+COPY src ./src
+COPY config ./config
+RUN --mount=type=cache,target=/root/.cache/uv uv sync --frozen --no-dev
+
+# bake the pinned model so runs need no network and no HF account
+RUN /app/.venv/bin/python -c "from tiltmeter import embed; embed._load_model()"
+
+ENV PATH="/app/.venv/bin:$PATH"
+VOLUME ["/app/data", "/app/releases"]
+EXPOSE 8477
+
+ENTRYPOINT ["tiltmeter"]
+CMD ["serve", "--releases", "releases"]
@@ -40,8 +40,26 @@ uv run tiltmeter snapshot --start 2026-07-10 --end 2026-07-24

 # fetch the orientation anchor: congressional floor speeches + party records
 uv run tiltmeter reference --end 2026-07-09 --days 10
+
+# compute ratings + evidence pages from a manifest
+uv run tiltmeter run --manifest releases/manifest-2026-07-10_2026-07-24.json
+
+# serve the computed releases as a read-only JSON API on :8477
+uv run tiltmeter serve
 ```

+Or with Docker (the pinned embedding model is baked into the image, so
+recomputation works offline):
+
+```sh
+docker compose up -d                        # API on :8477
+docker compose run --rm tiltmeter ingest    # any pipeline command as one-shot
+```
+
+tiltmeter is a **data layer**: it computes and serves ratings JSON plus evidence
+pages. Visualization is deliberately someone else's job — point your news reader
+or dashboard at the API.
+
 ## The auditability contract

 - **Reproducible**: same snapshot + same version ⇒ byte-identical ratings. Anyone
@@ -0,0 +1,15 @@
+# API serving + one-shot pipeline commands.
+#   docker compose up -d                                # serve ratings API :8477
+#   docker compose run --rm tiltmeter ingest            # poll feeds once
+#   docker compose run --rm tiltmeter snapshot --start ... --end ...
+#   docker compose run --rm tiltmeter run --manifest releases/manifest-<id>.json
+services:
+  tiltmeter:
+    build: .
+    image: tiltmeter:latest
+    ports:
+      - "8477:8477"
+    volumes:
+      - ./data:/app/data
+      - ./releases:/app/releases
+    restart: unless-stopped
@@ -8,69 +8,212 @@
 # - feed must actually work; broken outlets get swapped for a
 #   same-region-of-spectrum alternative, recorded in CHANGELOG.md
 #
-# Fields: name (canonical id), feed (RSS/Atom URL), homepage.
+# Ownership is factual context served alongside ratings (never a scoring
+# input). Integrity rules match reference_ratings.yaml: every entry carries
+# source + retrieval date; verified: false = transcribed from secondary
+# knowledge, confirm at source before relying on it downstream.
+#
+# Fields: name (canonical id), feed (RSS/Atom URL), homepage, ownership.

 outlets:
  - name: cs-monitor
    homepage: https://www.csmonitor.com
    feed: https://rss.csmonitor.com/feeds/politics
+    ownership:
+      owner: The Christian Science Publishing Society (First Church of Christ, Scientist)
+      type: nonprofit
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Christian_Science_Monitor
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: pbs-newshour
    homepage: https://www.pbs.org/newshour
    feed: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/feeds/rss/politics
+    ownership:
+      owner: NewsHour Productions LLC (WETA, PBS member station)
+      type: nonprofit
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PBS_News_Hour
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: npr
    homepage: https://www.npr.org
    feed: https://feeds.npr.org/1014/rss.xml
+    ownership:
+      owner: National Public Radio, Inc.
+      type: nonprofit
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NPR
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: axios
    homepage: https://www.axios.com
    feed: https://api.axios.com/feed/
+    ownership:
+      owner: Cox Enterprises
+      type: private-company
+      note: family-held conglomerate; acquired Axios Media 2022
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Axios_(website)
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: the-hill
    homepage: https://thehill.com
    feed: https://thehill.com/homenews/feed/
+    ownership:
+      owner: Nexstar Media Group
+      type: public-company
+      note: acquired 2021; NASDAQ NXST
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Hill_(newspaper)
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: nytimes
    homepage: https://www.nytimes.com
    feed: https://rss.nytimes.com/services/xml/rss/nyt/Politics.xml
+    ownership:
+      owner: The New York Times Company
+      type: public-company
+      note: NYSE NYT; Ochs-Sulzberger family voting control via Class B shares
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_New_York_Times_Company
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: washington-post
    homepage: https://www.washingtonpost.com
    feed: https://feeds.washingtonpost.com/rss/politics
+    ownership:
+      owner: Nash Holdings (Jeff Bezos)
+      type: private-company
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Washington_Post
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: cnn
    homepage: https://www.cnn.com
    feed: http://rss.cnn.com/rss/cnn_allpolitics.rss
+    ownership:
+      owner: Warner Bros. Discovery
+      type: public-company
+      note: in flux — WBD sale to Paramount Skydance DOJ-approved 2026-06-12;
+        CNN slated for the Discovery Global linear-networks entity; re-verify
+        on completion
+      source: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/cnn-and-fellow-cable-networks-are-in-limbo-amid-takeover-bids-of-warner-bros-discovery
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: true
  - name: nbc-news
    homepage: https://www.nbcnews.com
    feed: https://feeds.nbcnews.com/nbcnews/public/politics
+    ownership:
+      owner: NBCUniversal (Comcast)
+      type: public-company
+      note: NBC News remained with Comcast after the 2025 Versant cable spinoff
+        (which took MSNBC/CNBC); confirm current structure
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NBC_News
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: huffpost
    homepage: https://www.huffpost.com
    feed: https://www.huffpost.com/section/politics/feed
+    ownership:
+      owner: BuzzFeed, Inc.
+      type: public-company
+      note: acquired 2021
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HuffPost
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: mother-jones
    homepage: https://www.motherjones.com
    feed: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/feed/
+    ownership:
+      owner: Center for Investigative Reporting
+      type: nonprofit
+      note: Foundation for National Progress merged into CIR 2024-02-01
+      source: https://pressgazette.co.uk/the-wire/media-mergers-news-tracker/mother-jones-merges-with-center-for-investigative-reporting/
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: true
  - name: the-nation
    homepage: https://www.thenation.com
    feed: https://www.thenation.com/feed/?post_type=article
+    ownership:
+      owner: The Nation Company, L.P.
+      type: private-company
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Nation
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  # WSJ's politics feed is dead; the working feed is general news (not the
  # Opinion feed — news and opinion are rated separately by every incumbent
  # rater, and we collect news). Topic-mix tradeoff noted in METHODOLOGY D9.
  - name: wsj
    homepage: https://www.wsj.com
    feed: https://feeds.a.dj.com/rss/RSSWorldNews.xml
+    ownership:
+      owner: Dow Jones & Company (News Corp)
+      type: public-company
+      note: NASDAQ NWSA; Murdoch family trust voting control
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wall_Street_Journal
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: national-review
    homepage: https://www.nationalreview.com
    feed: https://www.nationalreview.com/feed/
+    ownership:
+      owner: National Review Institute
+      type: nonprofit
+      note: wholly-owned subsidiary of the 501(c)(3) NRI since 2015
+      source: https://ballotpedia.org/National_Review
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: true
  - name: washington-examiner
    homepage: https://www.washingtonexaminer.com
    feed: https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed
+    ownership:
+      owner: Clarity Media Group (Anschutz Corporation)
+      type: private-company
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Washington_Examiner
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: ny-post
    homepage: https://nypost.com
    feed: https://nypost.com/politics/feed/
+    ownership:
+      owner: NYP Holdings (News Corp)
+      type: public-company
+      note: Murdoch family trust voting control
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_Post
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: fox-news
    homepage: https://www.foxnews.com
    feed: https://moxie.foxnews.com/google-publisher/politics.xml
+    ownership:
+      owner: Fox News Media (Fox Corporation)
+      type: public-company
+      note: NASDAQ FOXA; Murdoch family trust voting control
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fox_News
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: daily-wire
    homepage: https://www.dailywire.com
    feed: https://www.dailywire.com/feeds/rss.xml
+    ownership:
+      owner: The Daily Wire, LLC
+      type: private-company
+      note: co-founders Ben Shapiro and Jeremy Boreing; principal early funder
+        Farris Wilks
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Daily_Wire
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: breitbart
    homepage: https://www.breitbart.com
    feed: https://feeds.feedburner.com/breitbart
+    ownership:
+      owner: Breitbart News Network, LLC
+      type: private-company
+      note: Mercer family reported major stakeholders; CEO Larry Solov
+      source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breitbart_News
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: false
  - name: newsmax
    homepage: https://www.newsmax.com
    feed: https://www.newsmax.com/rss/Politics/1/
+    ownership:
+      owner: Newsmax, Inc.
+      type: public-company
+      note: NYSE NMAX since 2025; founder Christopher Ruddy controlling
+      source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NMAX/
+      retrieved: 2026-07-10
+      verified: true
@@ -0,0 +1,54 @@
+# ADR-0003: Orientation estimator; tiltmeter stays a data layer
+
+- **Status**: accepted
+- **Date**: 2026-07-10
+- **Supersedes**: none (implements METHODOLOGY D5; scopes D10's delivery)
+
+## Decision
+
+1. **Orientation estimator**: each party's floor speeches (first 200 words each)
+   are embedded with the same pinned model as articles and averaged into a D-mean
+   and an R-mean vector. Each outlet's mean article embedding yields a proxy:
+   cosine-to-R minus cosine-to-D. The Spearman correlation between the unoriented
+   selection axis and this proxy decides the sign (negative correlation ⇒ flip),
+   with the convention **negative = left, positive = right**. If |ρ| < 0.3 the
+   orientation is marked `reliable: false` in ratings.json and the CLI prints
+   "UNRELIABLE — do not interpret".
+2. **Product shape**: tiltmeter is a data layer — a pipeline plus a read-only HTTP
+   API (`tiltmeter serve`, stdlib only, CORS `*`) over the releases directory.
+   Visualization belongs to separate consumer software. tiltmeter never grows a UI;
+   outputs stay machine-consumable with versioned JSON schemas
+   (`schema_version` in ratings.json).
+
+## Rationale (sources)
+
+- Embedding-similarity to party language is the modern, cheap analog of
+  Gentzkow & Shapiro (2010) phrase-frequency slant; used here only for a **single
+  sign bit + a diagnostic**, not for scoring, which keeps the heavy lifting in the
+  transparent coverage signal (ADR-0001).
+- Publishing the axis↔party-language correlation makes orientation failure visible
+  instead of silent — on day-one dry-run data it correctly reported ρ = +0.18,
+  UNRELIABLE (D6's honesty requirement working as intended).
+- Serving files the pipeline already wrote means the API adds zero audit surface:
+  what you GET is byte-identical to what the pipeline produced and hash-pinned.
+
+## Alternatives considered
+
+- Full Gentzkow–Shapiro phrase-based slant as the orientation source — planned as
+  signal S2 (v0.4+); requires the Gentzkow, Shapiro & Taddy (2019) estimator.
+- Orienting via declared anchor outlets — rejected in ADR-0001.
+- A web framework (FastAPI/Flask) for serving — more ergonomic, but a dependency
+  and an attack surface for what is, by design, static-file delivery. Revisit only
+  if the API grows beyond read-only.
+
+## Failure modes / risks accepted
+
+- Party-mean embeddings compress each party to one point; intra-party variation is
+  ignored. Acceptable for one sign bit; unacceptable for scoring — which is why it
+  doesn't score.
+- With thin reference or news corpora the proxy correlation will hover near zero
+  and orientation will stay flagged unreliable; ratings remain publishable only as
+  explicitly-unreliable dry runs.
+- An unoriented-but-strong axis with a weak proxy correlation likely means the
+  axis captured something other than politics (topic mix); the D7 gate would catch
+  this as low ρ against reference ratings.
@@ -0,0 +1,134 @@
+# Feasibility: reproducible factuality measurement
+
+Status: **planning document** — no factuality signal is implemented. This is the
+feasibility analysis for whether tiltmeter can ever rate reliability the way it
+rates lean: reproducibly, with no panel and no judge. Sources surveyed 2026-07-10.
+
+## 1. The anchor problem
+
+The lean pipeline works because ideology is **relational** and has a behavioral
+public record: politicians reveal their positions by voting, DW-NOMINATE turns
+roll calls into coordinates, and the Congressional Record ties party to language.
+The anchor is (a) a public record, (b) behavior rather than anyone's rating,
+(c) attributable to known actors, and (d) enormous.
+
+Factuality is different in kind: it is **correspondence to world-states**, not
+position among positions. There is no roll call for truth. Any feasible design
+must either find data with the four anchor properties above, or honestly rename
+what it measures. This document evaluates every candidate anchor we could find.
+
+## 2. Candidate anchors, evaluated
+
+| Anchor | Public record? | Judgment-free? | Outlet-attributable? | Coverage | Verdict |
+|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+| A. Court-adjudicated falsehoods (defamation judgments) | yes | yes (adjudicated) | yes | ~zero per outlet-year | footnote, not a signal |
+| B. Resolvable claims vs. official statistics & event outcomes | yes | comparison is mechanical | yes | narrow slice of articles | **the structural twin — research-grade effort** |
+| C. Revision/correction behavior (outlet's own edit history) | self-generated, capturable | yes | yes | every article | **cheapest honest signal — measures process, not truth** |
+| D. Cross-outlet corroboration structure (our own clusters) | our corpus | mostly (alignment via embeddings) | yes | every story | **free by-product — measures isolation, not falsity** |
+| E. Fact-checker verdicts (ClaimReview corpus) | published | no — human judgments | weakly (checks target claims/politicians) | sparse per outlet | validation target only, like AllSides for lean |
+
+### B. Resolvable claims — the Congress-method equivalent
+
+Some published claims resolve against public records with no judgment involved:
+economic figures (BLS/BEA/FRED releases), election results (state returns, FEC),
+census numbers, court outcomes (PACER/CourtListener), weather/disaster tolls
+(official counts). "The unemployment rate fell to 3.9%" is checkable the way a
+roll-call vote is checkable. Prior art exists and is active: the QuanTemp
+benchmark for numerical claim verification (arXiv 2403.17169), Full Fact's
+prototype Stats Checker verifying claims against official statistics, and the
+CLEF CheckThat! lab series.
+
+The costs, honestly: (1) **claim extraction requires an NLP model**, which
+collides with METHODOLOGY D8 — resolvable only via a documented carve-out where
+models may *extract and align* claims but never *evaluate* them, the mechanical
+record-comparison doing all evaluation, with published human-audited extraction
+samples; (2) only a minority of articles make resolvable claims, so per-outlet
+sample sizes build slowly; (3) connectors to each statistical source must be
+built and pinned. This is a research-grade pipeline — the strongest possible
+anchor, and the most expensive.
+
+### C. Revision behavior — cheap, behavioral, already half-built
+
+An outlet's own edit history is a behavioral public record it generates about
+itself. Track article revisions (we already poll every 6h; a revision mode
+re-fetches each article on a decaying schedule for ~72h and diffs by content
+hash) and measure: substantive-edit rate, **stealth-edit rate** (substantive
+changes without a correction notice), correction latency, and correction-notice
+practice. Strong prior art: NewsDiffs (2012–), the NewsEdits dataset (1.2M+
+revision histories, NAACL 2022), DiffEngine/NewsSniffer.
+
+The honest limit: this measures **process transparency, not accuracy**. Many
+corrections can mean error-prone *or* conscientious. The literature (and every
+incumbent's rubric) treats correction practice as a credibility criterion, but
+it must be published under its real name: process behavior.
+
+### D. Corroboration structure — free by-product of the lean pipeline
+
+We already cluster same-event articles across 20 outlets. Within a cluster,
+an outlet's *distinctive* claims (present in its version, absent from all
+others) are measurable via embedding alignment — no truth judgment. Track the
+**time-lagged corroboration rate**: distinctive claims that other outlets later
+confirm (scoops) vs. those that never get picked up. Persistent epistemic
+isolation is a signal; it is not falsity, and scoop-heavy outlets need the time
+lag to avoid punishment for being first. Also measurable per cluster:
+**wire fidelity** — drift between an outlet's rendering and the wire original
+it credits.
+
+### E. Fact-checker cross-reference — validation, not signal
+
+The ClaimReview corpus (Google Fact Check Tools API, Data Commons feed;
+FactCheck.org, PolitiFact, WaPo judgments) is open and machine-readable, but it
+is human judgment with severe selection bias: checkers check what went viral,
+which correlates with audience size and topic, not with outlet accuracy.
+Feeding it into scoring would import the panel we exist to remove — the same
+circularity rule as lean (D7): **incumbent factuality ratings (MBFC factual
+reporting, Ad Fontes reliability) and ClaimReview hit-rates are validation
+targets only.**
+
+## 3. Proposed architecture (v0.5+, strictly gated)
+
+- **F1 — process reliability** (from C): revision tracking, stealth-edit rate,
+  correction latency/notice practice. Ships first; infrastructure is a small
+  delta on the collector.
+- **F2 — corroboration structure** (from D): unilateral-claim rate with time
+  lag, wire fidelity. Ships from existing cluster data.
+- **F3 — resolvable-claim accuracy** (from B): pilot on one domain first
+  (economic statistics — cleanest official sources), expand only if the pilot
+  survives audit. Requires the D8 extraction carve-out as a new ADR before any
+  code.
+- **Naming rule**: the published axis is called **process reliability**, never
+  "factuality" or "truth", until/unless F3 matures enough to carry an accuracy
+  component. A score is a claim; the name is part of the claim.
+- **Validation gate** (mirror of M3): composite F-signal must rank-correlate
+  ρ ≥ 0.6 with MBFC factual-reporting and Ad Fontes reliability ratings over
+  the outlet sample. Below gate ⇒ iterate or kill, published either way. The
+  bar is lower than lean's 0.7 because factuality prediction is documented in
+  the literature as the harder task, and the incumbent ratings we validate
+  against are themselves noisier on this axis.
+
+## 4. What this can never do
+
+No reproducible system measures truth at scale; claiming otherwise would just
+hide the judgment somewhere. The incumbents' "factuality" grades are rubric
+judgments of process plus reputation. Ours would be: measured process behavior
+(F1), measured corroboration structure (F2), and — for one auditable slice of
+claims — mechanical comparison against official records (F3). Narrower than
+what a "truth score" implies, and honest about it. That honesty is the product.
+
+## 5. Sequencing
+
+Nothing here starts before the lean M3 gate reports. Then: F1 (revision
+tracking is cheap and its data, like the corpus, gains value with every day it
+runs — worth starting early), F2, F3 pilot. Each phase gets its own ADR with
+kill criteria before code.
+
+## 6. Sources
+
+- QuanTemp numerical-claim benchmark: <https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.17169>
+- Full Fact automated stats-checking: <https://fullfact.org/blog/2022/feb/claim-challenge-update/>
+- CLEF CheckThat! fact-checking labs: <https://ceur-ws.org/Vol-4038/paper_53.pdf>
+- NewsEdits revision dataset: <https://arxiv.org/abs/2206.07106>
+- NewsDiffs: <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NewsDiffs>
+- Google Fact Check Tools API: <https://developers.google.com/fact-check/tools/api>
+- Data Commons fact-check corpus: <https://datacommons.org/factcheck/blog>
+- Baly et al., predicting factuality of sources (EMNLP 2018): <https://aclanthology.org/D18-1389/>
@@ -10,27 +10,31 @@ swap policy for dead feeds are documented in
 [METHODOLOGY.md, decision D4](../METHODOLOGY.md#d4-twenty-outlets-deliberately-spread-chosen-once-and-openly);
 individual swaps are recorded in the [CHANGELOG](../CHANGELOG.md).

-| Outlet | Homepage | Feed |
-|---|---|---|
-| axios | <https://www.axios.com> | <https://api.axios.com/feed/> |
-| breitbart | <https://www.breitbart.com> | <https://feeds.feedburner.com/breitbart> |
-| cnn | <https://www.cnn.com> | <http://rss.cnn.com/rss/cnn_allpolitics.rss> |
-| cs-monitor | <https://www.csmonitor.com> | <https://rss.csmonitor.com/feeds/politics> |
-| daily-wire | <https://www.dailywire.com> | <https://www.dailywire.com/feeds/rss.xml> |
-| fox-news | <https://www.foxnews.com> | <https://moxie.foxnews.com/google-publisher/politics.xml> |
-| huffpost | <https://www.huffpost.com> | <https://www.huffpost.com/section/politics/feed> |
-| mother-jones | <https://www.motherjones.com> | <https://www.motherjones.com/politics/feed/> |
-| national-review | <https://www.nationalreview.com> | <https://www.nationalreview.com/feed/> |
-| nbc-news | <https://www.nbcnews.com> | <https://feeds.nbcnews.com/nbcnews/public/politics> |
-| newsmax | <https://www.newsmax.com> | <https://www.newsmax.com/rss/Politics/1/> |
-| npr | <https://www.npr.org> | <https://feeds.npr.org/1014/rss.xml> |
-| ny-post | <https://nypost.com> | <https://nypost.com/politics/feed/> |
-| nytimes | <https://www.nytimes.com> | <https://rss.nytimes.com/services/xml/rss/nyt/Politics.xml> |
-| pbs-newshour | <https://www.pbs.org/newshour> | <https://www.pbs.org/newshour/feeds/rss/politics> |
-| the-hill | <https://thehill.com> | <https://thehill.com/homenews/feed/> |
-| the-nation | <https://www.thenation.com> | <https://www.thenation.com/feed/?post_type=article> |
-| washington-examiner | <https://www.washingtonexaminer.com> | <https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed> |
-| washington-post | <https://www.washingtonpost.com> | <https://feeds.washingtonpost.com/rss/politics> |
-| wsj | <https://www.wsj.com> | <https://feeds.a.dj.com/rss/RSSWorldNews.xml> |
+Ownership is sourced factual context (see the `ownership` blocks in the
+config for source URLs, retrieval dates, and verification status); it is
+never a scoring input.
+
+| Outlet | Owner | Type | Feed |
+|---|---|---|---|
+| [axios](https://www.axios.com) | Cox Enterprises | private-company | <https://api.axios.com/feed/> |
+| [breitbart](https://www.breitbart.com) | Breitbart News Network, LLC | private-company | <https://feeds.feedburner.com/breitbart> |
+| [cnn](https://www.cnn.com) | Warner Bros. Discovery | public-company | <http://rss.cnn.com/rss/cnn_allpolitics.rss> |
+| [cs-monitor](https://www.csmonitor.com) | The Christian Science Publishing Society (First Church of Christ, Scientist) | nonprofit | <https://rss.csmonitor.com/feeds/politics> |
+| [daily-wire](https://www.dailywire.com) | The Daily Wire, LLC | private-company | <https://www.dailywire.com/feeds/rss.xml> |
+| [fox-news](https://www.foxnews.com) | Fox News Media (Fox Corporation) | public-company | <https://moxie.foxnews.com/google-publisher/politics.xml> |
+| [huffpost](https://www.huffpost.com) | BuzzFeed, Inc. | public-company | <https://www.huffpost.com/section/politics/feed> |
+| [mother-jones](https://www.motherjones.com) | Center for Investigative Reporting | nonprofit | <https://www.motherjones.com/politics/feed/> |
+| [national-review](https://www.nationalreview.com) | National Review Institute | nonprofit | <https://www.nationalreview.com/feed/> |
+| [nbc-news](https://www.nbcnews.com) | NBCUniversal (Comcast) | public-company | <https://feeds.nbcnews.com/nbcnews/public/politics> |
+| [newsmax](https://www.newsmax.com) | Newsmax, Inc. | public-company | <https://www.newsmax.com/rss/Politics/1/> |
+| [npr](https://www.npr.org) | National Public Radio, Inc. | nonprofit | <https://feeds.npr.org/1014/rss.xml> |
+| [ny-post](https://nypost.com) | NYP Holdings (News Corp) | public-company | <https://nypost.com/politics/feed/> |
+| [nytimes](https://www.nytimes.com) | The New York Times Company | public-company | <https://rss.nytimes.com/services/xml/rss/nyt/Politics.xml> |
+| [pbs-newshour](https://www.pbs.org/newshour) | NewsHour Productions LLC (WETA, PBS member station) | nonprofit | <https://www.pbs.org/newshour/feeds/rss/politics> |
+| [the-hill](https://thehill.com) | Nexstar Media Group | public-company | <https://thehill.com/homenews/feed/> |
+| [the-nation](https://www.thenation.com) | The Nation Company, L.P. | private-company | <https://www.thenation.com/feed/?post_type=article> |
+| [washington-examiner](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com) | Clarity Media Group (Anschutz Corporation) | private-company | <https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/feed> |
+| [washington-post](https://www.washingtonpost.com) | Nash Holdings (Jeff Bezos) | private-company | <https://feeds.washingtonpost.com/rss/politics> |
+| [wsj](https://www.wsj.com) | Dow Jones & Company (News Corp) | public-company | <https://feeds.a.dj.com/rss/RSSWorldNews.xml> |

 Total: 20 outlets.
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 [project]
 name = "tiltmeter"
-version = "0.2.0"
+version = "0.3.0"
 description = "Auditable, reproducible political-lean ratings for news outlets"
 readme = "README.md"
 requires-python = ">=3.13"
@@ -11,6 +11,11 @@ dependencies = [
    "trafilatura>=1.12",
    "pyyaml>=6.0",
    "sentence-transformers>=3.0",
+    # torch is transitive via sentence-transformers, but must be a direct
+    # dependency for the pytorch-cpu index pin below to apply (uv resolves
+    # tool.uv.sources for direct dependencies only) — otherwise the lock
+    # pulls CUDA torch and the Docker image balloons to ~7GB
+    "torch>=2.6",
    "scikit-learn>=1.5",
    "numpy>=2.0",
    "requests>=2.32",
@@ -0,0 +1,157 @@
+{
+ "axis_inertia_share": 0.119917,
+ "corpus_hash": "626c32fd35709f7174672c22fa86b56227986e0d4560306bddd49b1a11b03b76",
+ "n_articles": 583,
+ "n_stories": 63,
+ "orientation": {
+  "correlation": 0.183459,
+  "method": "party-mean speech embeddings (ADR-0003)",
+  "reliable": false
+ },
+ "outlets": [
+  {
+   "ci_high": 1.0,
+   "ci_low": -1.0,
+   "outlet": "national-review",
+   "score": -0.056998,
+   "stories_covered": 4
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.370098,
+   "ci_low": -0.531857,
+   "outlet": "newsmax",
+   "score": -0.052117,
+   "stories_covered": 12
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.228278,
+   "ci_low": -0.436618,
+   "outlet": "ny-post",
+   "score": -0.050542,
+   "stories_covered": 6
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.228342,
+   "ci_low": -0.495406,
+   "outlet": "npr",
+   "score": -0.049238,
+   "stories_covered": 7
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.263456,
+   "ci_low": -0.370786,
+   "outlet": "the-hill",
+   "score": -0.047202,
+   "stories_covered": 12
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.218725,
+   "ci_low": -0.516228,
+   "outlet": "breitbart",
+   "score": -0.044667,
+   "stories_covered": 9
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.480408,
+   "ci_low": -0.647752,
+   "outlet": "the-nation",
+   "score": -0.044493,
+   "stories_covered": 11
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.141765,
+   "ci_low": -0.240933,
+   "outlet": "daily-wire",
+   "score": -0.043512,
+   "stories_covered": 14
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.785451,
+   "ci_low": -0.898349,
+   "outlet": "washington-post",
+   "score": -0.036812,
+   "stories_covered": 7
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.401493,
+   "ci_low": -0.447497,
+   "outlet": "pbs-newshour",
+   "score": -0.035984,
+   "stories_covered": 11
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.570331,
+   "ci_low": -0.60672,
+   "outlet": "fox-news",
+   "score": -0.03245,
+   "stories_covered": 9
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.813997,
+   "ci_low": -0.869201,
+   "outlet": "washington-examiner",
+   "score": -0.030359,
+   "stories_covered": 8
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.320726,
+   "ci_low": -0.239156,
+   "outlet": "huffpost",
+   "score": -0.00761,
+   "stories_covered": 25
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.0,
+   "ci_low": 0.0,
+   "outlet": "cnn",
+   "score": -0.0,
+   "stories_covered": 0
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.0,
+   "ci_low": 0.0,
+   "outlet": "wsj",
+   "score": -0.0,
+   "stories_covered": 0
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.557721,
+   "ci_low": -0.434797,
+   "outlet": "nytimes",
+   "score": 0.01963,
+   "stories_covered": 9
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.495591,
+   "ci_low": -0.278963,
+   "outlet": "nbc-news",
+   "score": 0.019704,
+   "stories_covered": 11
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 0.352731,
+   "ci_low": -0.286694,
+   "outlet": "axios",
+   "score": 0.032479,
+   "stories_covered": 23
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 1.0,
+   "ci_low": -0.458178,
+   "outlet": "mother-jones",
+   "score": 0.451646,
+   "stories_covered": 4
+  },
+  {
+   "ci_high": 1.0,
+   "ci_low": -0.0,
+   "outlet": "cs-monitor",
+   "score": 1.0,
+   "stories_covered": 2
+  }
+ ],
+ "pipeline_version": "0.3.0",
+ "reference_frame": "lean relative to contemporary US congressional party discourse; negative = left, positive = right",
+ "schema_version": 1,
+ "snapshot_id": "2026-07-10_2026-07-11"
+}
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: axios
+
+- **Score**: +0.032 (95% CI -0.287 … +0.353); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 23 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: nbc-news (+0.020), nytimes (+0.020), cnn (-0.000)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **covered** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **covered** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **covered** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **covered** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **covered** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: breitbart
+
+- **Score**: -0.045 (95% CI -0.516 … +0.219); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 9 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: the-nation (-0.044), daily-wire (-0.044), the-hill (-0.047)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **covered** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **covered** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: cnn
+
+- **Score**: -0.000 (95% CI +0.000 … +0.000); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 0 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: wsj (-0.000), huffpost (-0.008), nytimes (+0.020)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: cs-monitor
+
+- **Score**: +1.000 (95% CI -0.000 … +1.000); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 2 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: mother-jones (+0.452), axios (+0.032), nbc-news (+0.020)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **covered** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **covered** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: daily-wire
+
+- **Score**: -0.044 (95% CI -0.241 … +0.142); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 14 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: the-nation (-0.044), breitbart (-0.045), the-hill (-0.047)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **covered** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: fox-news
+
+- **Score**: -0.032 (95% CI -0.607 … +0.570); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 9 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: washington-examiner (-0.030), pbs-newshour (-0.036), washington-post (-0.037)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **covered** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **covered** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: huffpost
+
+- **Score**: -0.008 (95% CI -0.239 … +0.321); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 25 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: cnn (-0.000), wsj (-0.000), washington-examiner (-0.030)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **covered** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **covered** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **covered** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
+# Evidence pages — snapshot 2026-07-10_2026-07-11
+
+Generated by the pipeline (never hand-edited). Reference frame: lean relative to contemporary US congressional party discourse; negative = left, positive = right.
+
+| Outlet | Score | 95% CI |
+|---|---|---|
+| [national-review](national-review.md) | -0.057 | -1.000 … +1.000 |
+| [newsmax](newsmax.md) | -0.052 | -0.532 … +0.370 |
+| [ny-post](ny-post.md) | -0.051 | -0.437 … +0.228 |
+| [npr](npr.md) | -0.049 | -0.495 … +0.228 |
+| [the-hill](the-hill.md) | -0.047 | -0.371 … +0.263 |
+| [breitbart](breitbart.md) | -0.045 | -0.516 … +0.219 |
+| [the-nation](the-nation.md) | -0.044 | -0.648 … +0.480 |
+| [daily-wire](daily-wire.md) | -0.044 | -0.241 … +0.142 |
+| [washington-post](washington-post.md) | -0.037 | -0.898 … +0.785 |
+| [pbs-newshour](pbs-newshour.md) | -0.036 | -0.447 … +0.401 |
+| [fox-news](fox-news.md) | -0.032 | -0.607 … +0.570 |
+| [washington-examiner](washington-examiner.md) | -0.030 | -0.869 … +0.814 |
+| [huffpost](huffpost.md) | -0.008 | -0.239 … +0.321 |
+| [cnn](cnn.md) | -0.000 | +0.000 … +0.000 |
+| [wsj](wsj.md) | -0.000 | +0.000 … +0.000 |
+| [nytimes](nytimes.md) | +0.020 | -0.435 … +0.558 |
+| [nbc-news](nbc-news.md) | +0.020 | -0.279 … +0.496 |
+| [axios](axios.md) | +0.032 | -0.287 … +0.353 |
+| [mother-jones](mother-jones.md) | +0.452 | -0.458 … +1.000 |
+| [cs-monitor](cs-monitor.md) | +1.000 | -0.000 … +1.000 |
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: mother-jones
+
+- **Score**: +0.452 (95% CI -0.458 … +1.000); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 4 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: axios (+0.032), nbc-news (+0.020), nytimes (+0.020)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **covered** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **covered** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **covered** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: national-review
+
+- **Score**: -0.057 (95% CI -1.000 … +1.000); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 4 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: newsmax (-0.052), ny-post (-0.051), npr (-0.049)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **covered** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **covered** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: nbc-news
+
+- **Score**: +0.020 (95% CI -0.279 … +0.496); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 11 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: nytimes (+0.020), axios (+0.032), cnn (-0.000)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **covered** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **covered** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **covered** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **covered** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: newsmax
+
+- **Score**: -0.052 (95% CI -0.532 … +0.370); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 12 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: ny-post (-0.051), npr (-0.049), national-review (-0.057)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **covered** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **covered** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **covered** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **covered** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **covered** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **covered** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: npr
+
+- **Score**: -0.049 (95% CI -0.495 … +0.228); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 7 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: ny-post (-0.051), the-hill (-0.047), newsmax (-0.052)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **covered** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **covered** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **covered** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: ny-post
+
+- **Score**: -0.051 (95% CI -0.437 … +0.228); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 6 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: npr (-0.049), newsmax (-0.052), the-hill (-0.047)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **covered** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **covered** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: nytimes
+
+- **Score**: +0.020 (95% CI -0.435 … +0.558); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 9 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: nbc-news (+0.020), axios (+0.032), cnn (-0.000)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **covered** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **covered** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: pbs-newshour
+
+- **Score**: -0.036 (95% CI -0.447 … +0.401); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 11 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: washington-post (-0.037), fox-news (-0.032), washington-examiner (-0.030)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **covered** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: the-hill
+
+- **Score**: -0.047 (95% CI -0.371 … +0.263); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 12 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: npr (-0.049), breitbart (-0.045), the-nation (-0.044)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **covered** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: the-nation
+
+- **Score**: -0.044 (95% CI -0.648 … +0.480); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 11 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: breitbart (-0.045), daily-wire (-0.044), the-hill (-0.047)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **covered** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **covered** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: washington-examiner
+
+- **Score**: -0.030 (95% CI -0.869 … +0.814); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 8 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: fox-news (-0.032), pbs-newshour (-0.036), washington-post (-0.037)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: washington-post
+
+- **Score**: -0.037 (95% CI -0.898 … +0.785); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 7 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: pbs-newshour (-0.036), fox-news (-0.032), washington-examiner (-0.030)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
+# Evidence: wsj
+
+- **Score**: -0.000 (95% CI +0.000 … +0.000); negative = left, positive = right
+- **Snapshot**: 2026-07-10_2026-07-11 (corpus 626c32fd3570…), pipeline v0.3.0
+- **Coverage**: 0 of 63 cross-outlet stories
+- **Nearest neighbors**: cnn (-0.000), huffpost (-0.008), nytimes (+0.020)
+
+The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —
+the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered
+and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.
+
+## Left-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [national-review] Does the WNBA Not Like Caitlin Clark?
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] The Supreme Court Undermines Immigrant Rights
+- **skipped** — [npr] Campaign staffers keep trying to bet on races despite push to curb insider trading
+- **skipped** — [newsmax] RNC Midterm Convention Becomes Fundraiser
+- **skipped** — [npr] Sen. Jeanne Shaheen talks about Trump at NATO and the renewed strikes against Iran
+- **skipped** — [the-nation] Rahm Emanuel’s Speech in Tel Aviv Breaks With a “No Daylight” Approach
+- **skipped** — [daily-wire] Israel Warns U.S. Of New Iranian Plot To Assassinate Trump: Report
+- **skipped** — [fox-news] Jeb Bush praises Trump for crippling Iran’s military, but warns of ‘threat’ to US from reported drones in Cuba
+
+## Right-pole stories
+
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] Trump Can’t Stop Talking About Communists
+- **skipped** — [cs-monitor] The hands-off era of AI oversight is ending. What comes next?
+- **skipped** — [mother-jones] ICE Keeps Using The Same Justification For Killing Drivers
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] U.S. strikes Iran in major escalation as fears grow of a return to full-scale conflict
+- **skipped** — [nbc-news] Mallory McMorrow ends bid for Democratic Senate nomination in Michigan
+- **skipped** — [axios] Ukraine proves it can hit Russia almost anywhere
+- **skipped** — [huffpost] Kentucky Governor Asks Mitch McConnell To ‘Fully Update’ People On His Health
+- **skipped** — [axios] UEFA says FIFA crossed a line on Balogun decision
@@ -28,8 +28,12 @@ swap policy for dead feeds are documented in
 [METHODOLOGY.md, decision D4](../METHODOLOGY.md#d4-twenty-outlets-deliberately-spread-chosen-once-and-openly);
 individual swaps are recorded in the [CHANGELOG](../CHANGELOG.md).

-| Outlet | Homepage | Feed |
-|---|---|---|
+Ownership is sourced factual context (see the `ownership` blocks in the
+config for source URLs, retrieval dates, and verification status); it is
+never a scoring input.
+
+| Outlet | Owner | Type | Feed |
+|---|---|---|---|
 """


@@ -37,7 +41,8 @@ def render() -> str:
    with open(CONFIG) as f:
        outlets = yaml.safe_load(f)["outlets"]
    rows = [
-        f"| {o['name']} | <{o['homepage']}> | <{o['feed']}> |"
+        f"| [{o['name']}]({o['homepage']}) | {o['ownership']['owner']} "
+        f"| {o['ownership']['type']} | <{o['feed']}> |"
        for o in sorted(outlets, key=lambda o: o["name"])
    ]
    return HEADER + "\n".join(rows) + f"\n\nTotal: {len(outlets)} outlets.\n"
@@ -4,4 +4,4 @@ Every module in this package opens with a plain-language docstring stating the
 question it answers. See docs/how-it-works.md for the full plain-language tour.
 """

-__version__ = "0.2.0"
+__version__ = "0.3.0"
@@ -6,8 +6,10 @@ The command-line interface:
  tiltmeter status     — show how many articles we hold per outlet
  tiltmeter snapshot   — freeze a window of the corpus into a manifest
  tiltmeter reference  — fetch congressional floor speeches (the D5 anchor)
+  tiltmeter run        — manifest → ratings.json + evidence pages
+  tiltmeter serve      — read-only HTTP API over computed releases

-Later milestones add: run, validate, report.
+Later milestones add: validate (the M3 gate).
 """

 import argparse
@@ -61,6 +63,39 @@ def cmd_reference(args: argparse.Namespace) -> int:
    return 0


+def cmd_run(args: argparse.Namespace) -> int:
+    from tiltmeter import __version__, report, score, snapshot
+
+    manifest = snapshot.load(args.manifest)
+    conn = db.connect(args.db)
+    ratings = score.compute(conn, manifest, __version__)
+    ratings_path = score.write(ratings, args.out)
+    stories, matrix, articles = score.story_details(conn, manifest)
+    stories_path = score.write_stories(score.stories_json(stories, articles, manifest), args.out)
+    report_dir = report.write(report.render(ratings, stories, matrix, articles), ratings, args.out)
+
+    print(f"ratings: {ratings_path}\nstories: {stories_path}\nevidence: {report_dir}/")
+    o = ratings["orientation"]
+    flag = "" if o["reliable"] else "  [UNRELIABLE — do not interpret]"
+    print(
+        f"stories: {ratings['n_stories']}, axis inertia {ratings['axis_inertia_share']:.0%}, "
+        f"orientation rho {o['correlation']:+.2f}{flag}"
+    )
+    for entry in ratings["outlets"]:
+        print(
+            f"  {entry['score']:+.3f}  [{entry['ci_low']:+.3f} {entry['ci_high']:+.3f}]"
+            f"  {entry['outlet']}"
+        )
+    return 0
+
+
+def cmd_serve(args: argparse.Namespace) -> int:
+    from tiltmeter import serve
+
+    serve.run(args.releases, args.host, args.port)
+    return 0
+
+
 def cmd_status(args: argparse.Namespace) -> int:
    conn = db.connect(args.db)
    rows = db.outlet_counts(conn)
@@ -103,6 +138,17 @@ def main(argv: list[str] | None = None) -> int:
    p_reference.add_argument("--congress", type=int, default=119)
    p_reference.set_defaults(func=cmd_reference)

+    p_run = sub.add_parser("run", help="compute ratings + evidence pages from a manifest")
+    p_run.add_argument("--manifest", required=True, help="path to a snapshot manifest")
+    p_run.add_argument("--out", default="releases", help="output directory")
+    p_run.set_defaults(func=cmd_run)
+
+    p_serve = sub.add_parser("serve", help="read-only HTTP API over computed releases")
+    p_serve.add_argument("--releases", default="releases")
+    p_serve.add_argument("--host", default="0.0.0.0")
+    p_serve.add_argument("--port", type=int, default=8477)
+    p_serve.set_defaults(func=cmd_serve)
+
    args = parser.parse_args(argv)
    logging.basicConfig(level=logging.INFO, format="%(levelname)s %(name)s: %(message)s")
    return args.func(args)
@@ -0,0 +1,107 @@
+"""Which end of the axis is politically left, and which is right?
+
+The selection axis (signals/selection.py) has an arbitrary sign — the math
+doesn't know left from right. Orientation comes from public records
+(METHODOLOGY.md D5): we embed Democratic and Republican floor speeches from
+the Congressional Record, compute each outlet's average article embedding,
+and check which axis pole sits closer in language to which party. If the
+axis is backwards, we flip it. Convention: negative = left, positive = right
+(matches how AllSides and Ad Fontes draw their scales).
+
+The strength of the axis↔party-language agreement is reported as a
+diagnostic: a weak agreement means orientation (and possibly the axis
+itself) shouldn't be trusted, and the output says so rather than hiding it.
+"""
+
+import hashlib
+import sqlite3
+from dataclasses import dataclass
+
+import numpy as np
+
+SPEECH_EMBED_WORDS = 200  # MiniLM reads ~256 tokens; the opening covers the topic
+MIN_ABS_CORRELATION = 0.3  # below this, orientation is flagged unreliable
+
+
+@dataclass(frozen=True)
+class Orientation:
+    sign: int  # +1 keep, -1 flip
+    correlation: float  # spearman rho between axis and party-language proxy
+    reliable: bool
+    proxy_by_outlet: tuple[float, ...]  # cos-to-R minus cos-to-D per outlet
+
+
+def _spearman(a: np.ndarray, b: np.ndarray) -> float:
+    ra = np.argsort(np.argsort(a)).astype(np.float64)
+    rb = np.argsort(np.argsort(b)).astype(np.float64)
+    ra -= ra.mean()
+    rb -= rb.mean()
+    denom = np.sqrt((ra**2).sum() * (rb**2).sum())
+    return float((ra * rb).sum() / denom) if denom > 0 else 0.0
+
+
+def _cached_embed_texts(conn: sqlite3.Connection, texts: list[str]) -> np.ndarray:
+    """Embed with the same fingerprint-keyed cache articles use."""
+    from tiltmeter import embed
+
+    hashes = [hashlib.sha256(t.encode()).hexdigest() for t in texts]
+    conn.executescript(embed.CACHE_SCHEMA)
+    cached = {}
+    for h in hashes:
+        row = conn.execute(
+            "SELECT vector FROM embeddings WHERE content_hash = ? AND model = ?",
+            (h, embed.MODEL_NAME),
+        ).fetchone()
+        if row:
+            cached[h] = np.frombuffer(row[0], dtype=np.float32)
+    missing = [(h, t) for h, t in zip(hashes, texts) if h not in cached]
+    if missing:
+        vectors = embed.embed_texts([t for _, t in missing])
+        conn.executemany(
+            "INSERT OR IGNORE INTO embeddings (content_hash, model, vector) VALUES (?, ?, ?)",
+            [(h, embed.MODEL_NAME, v.tobytes()) for (h, _), v in zip(missing, vectors)],
+        )
+        conn.commit()
+        cached.update({h: v for (h, _), v in zip(missing, vectors)})
+    return np.stack([cached[h] for h in hashes])
+
+
+def party_means(conn: sqlite3.Connection) -> dict[str, np.ndarray]:
+    """Average embedding of each party's floor speeches (unit-normalized)."""
+    rows = conn.execute("SELECT party, text FROM reference_speeches").fetchall()
+    if not rows:
+        raise ValueError("no reference speeches; run: tiltmeter reference")
+    means = {}
+    for party in ("D", "R"):
+        texts = [
+            " ".join(text.split()[:SPEECH_EMBED_WORDS])
+            for p, text in rows
+            if p == party
+        ]
+        if len(texts) < 20:
+            raise ValueError(f"only {len(texts)} {party} speeches; reference corpus too thin")
+        mean = _cached_embed_texts(conn, texts).mean(axis=0)
+        means[party] = mean / np.linalg.norm(mean)
+    return means
+
+
+def outlet_proxy(
+    outlet_vectors: dict[str, np.ndarray], means: dict[str, np.ndarray]
+) -> dict[str, float]:
+    """Per outlet: cosine-to-Republican minus cosine-to-Democratic language."""
+    proxy = {}
+    for outlet, vec in outlet_vectors.items():
+        unit = vec / np.linalg.norm(vec)
+        proxy[outlet] = float(unit @ means["R"] - unit @ means["D"])
+    return proxy
+
+
+def orient_sign(axis_positions: list[float], proxy_values: list[float]) -> Orientation:
+    """Pure decision: flip the axis if it anti-correlates with party language."""
+    rho = _spearman(np.asarray(axis_positions), np.asarray(proxy_values))
+    return Orientation(
+        sign=-1 if rho < 0 else 1,
+        correlation=rho,
+        reliable=abs(rho) >= MIN_ABS_CORRELATION,
+        proxy_by_outlet=tuple(float(p) for p in proxy_values),
+    )
@@ -0,0 +1,105 @@
+"""Why is this outlet where it is? Show the reader actual headlines.
+
+Evidence pages (METHODOLOGY.md D10): for every outlet, the stories that most
+distinguish the two ends of the axis — which of them this outlet covered and
+which it skipped, with real example headlines — plus its nearest neighbors
+and its confidence interval. Generated by the same deterministic pipeline as
+the scores; never hand-edited.
+"""
+
+from pathlib import Path
+
+import numpy as np
+
+from tiltmeter.signals.selection import _first_axis  # same axis, story side
+
+TOP_STORIES = 8
+
+
+def _story_axis_coords(matrix: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
+    """Story (column) positions on the same axis the outlets were scaled on."""
+    return _first_axis(matrix.T)
+
+
+def render(ratings: dict, stories: list, matrix: np.ndarray, articles: list) -> dict[str, str]:
+    """Markdown evidence page per outlet, plus an index. Returns {filename: content}."""
+    outlet_order = [o["outlet"] for o in sorted(ratings["outlets"], key=lambda o: o["score"])]
+    scores = {o["outlet"]: o for o in ratings["outlets"]}
+    # matrix rows follow manifest outlet order, which is sorted outlet names
+    row_names = sorted(scores)
+    row_index = {name: i for i, name in enumerate(row_names)}
+    coords = _story_axis_coords(matrix)
+    # align story-axis sign with outlet orientation: a story mostly covered by
+    # right-scored outlets should sit at the right pole
+    row_scores = np.array([scores[n]["score"] for n in row_names])
+    covered_lean = (matrix.T @ row_scores) / np.maximum(matrix.sum(axis=0), 1.0)
+    if float(np.dot(coords, covered_lean)) < 0:
+        coords = -coords
+
+    ranked_stories = np.argsort(coords)
+    pages = {}
+    headline = lambda i: f"[{articles[i]['outlet']}] {articles[i]['title']}"  # noqa: E731
+
+    for name in outlet_order:
+        row = row_index[name]
+        entry = scores[name]
+        neighbors = sorted(
+            (o for o in ratings["outlets"] if o["outlet"] != name),
+            key=lambda o: abs(o["score"] - entry["score"]),
+        )[:3]
+        lines = [
+            f"# Evidence: {name}",
+            "",
+            f"- **Score**: {entry['score']:+.3f} "
+            f"(95% CI {entry['ci_low']:+.3f} … {entry['ci_high']:+.3f}); "
+            f"negative = left, positive = right",
+            f"- **Snapshot**: {ratings['snapshot_id']} (corpus {ratings['corpus_hash'][:12]}…), "
+            f"pipeline v{ratings['pipeline_version']}",
+            f"- **Coverage**: {entry['stories_covered']} of {ratings['n_stories']} "
+            f"cross-outlet stories",
+            "- **Nearest neighbors**: "
+            + ", ".join(f"{n['outlet']} ({n['score']:+.3f})" for n in neighbors),
+            "",
+            "The stories below are the most axis-distinguishing in this snapshot —",
+            "the ones outlets' choices disagree about most. What this outlet covered",
+            "and skipped among them is what placed it where it is.",
+            "",
+        ]
+        for label, indices in (
+            ("Left-pole stories", ranked_stories[:TOP_STORIES]),
+            ("Right-pole stories", ranked_stories[::-1][:TOP_STORIES]),
+        ):
+            lines.append(f"## {label}")
+            lines.append("")
+            for sid in indices:
+                story = stories[int(sid)]
+                mark = "covered" if matrix[row, int(sid)] else "skipped"
+                lines.append(f"- **{mark}** — {headline(story.article_indices[0])}")
+            lines.append("")
+        pages[f"{name}.md"] = "\n".join(lines)
+
+    index = [
+        f"# Evidence pages — snapshot {ratings['snapshot_id']}",
+        "",
+        "Generated by the pipeline (never hand-edited). Reference frame: "
+        + ratings["reference_frame"] + ".",
+        "",
+        "| Outlet | Score | 95% CI |",
+        "|---|---|---|",
+    ]
+    for name in outlet_order:
+        e = scores[name]
+        index.append(
+            f"| [{name}]({name}.md) | {e['score']:+.3f} | "
+            f"{e['ci_low']:+.3f} … {e['ci_high']:+.3f} |"
+        )
+    pages["index.md"] = "\n".join(index) + "\n"
+    return pages
+
+
+def write(pages: dict[str, str], ratings: dict, out_dir: str | Path) -> Path:
+    directory = Path(out_dir) / f"report-{ratings['snapshot_id']}"
+    directory.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
+    for filename, content in pages.items():
+        (directory / filename).write_text(content)
+    return directory
@@ -0,0 +1,128 @@
+"""How does a snapshot become ratings.json?
+
+The assembly line, end to end: manifest → embeddings → story clusters →
+coverage matrix → selection axis with confidence intervals → orientation by
+congressional language → one deterministic JSON file. No timestamps, no
+randomness outside the fixed bootstrap seed: rerunning on the same snapshot
+must produce the same bytes (METHODOLOGY.md D1, D10).
+"""
+
+import json
+import sqlite3
+from pathlib import Path
+
+import numpy as np
+
+from tiltmeter import embed, orient
+from tiltmeter.cluster import cluster_articles, coverage_matrix
+from tiltmeter.signals import selection
+
+RATINGS_SCHEMA_VERSION = 1
+REFERENCE_FRAME = (
+    "lean relative to contemporary US congressional party discourse; "
+    "negative = left, positive = right"
+)
+
+
+def compute(conn: sqlite3.Connection, manifest: dict, pipeline_version: str) -> dict:
+    """Run the full pipeline on a loaded manifest; return the ratings dict."""
+    articles = manifest["articles"]
+    outlet_order = manifest["outlets"]
+
+    vectors = embed.embed_hashes(conn, [a["content_hash"] for a in articles])
+    stories = cluster_articles(vectors, [a["outlet"] for a in articles])
+    matrix = coverage_matrix(stories, outlet_order)
+    axis = selection.compute(matrix, outlet_order)
+
+    outlet_vectors = {}
+    for name in outlet_order:
+        rows = [i for i, a in enumerate(articles) if a["outlet"] == name]
+        outlet_vectors[name] = vectors[rows].mean(axis=0)
+    party = orient.party_means(conn)
+    proxy = orient.outlet_proxy(outlet_vectors, party)
+    orientation = orient.orient_sign(
+        list(axis.positions), [proxy[name] for name in axis.outlets]
+    )
+    s = orientation.sign
+
+    covered_counts = matrix.sum(axis=1)
+    outlets_out = [
+        {
+            "outlet": name,
+            "score": round(s * pos, 6),
+            "ci_low": round(min(s * lo, s * hi), 6),
+            "ci_high": round(max(s * lo, s * hi), 6),
+            "stories_covered": int(covered_counts[i]),
+        }
+        for i, (name, pos, lo, hi) in enumerate(
+            zip(axis.outlets, axis.positions, axis.ci_low, axis.ci_high)
+        )
+    ]
+    outlets_out.sort(key=lambda o: o["score"])
+
+    return {
+        "schema_version": RATINGS_SCHEMA_VERSION,
+        "pipeline_version": pipeline_version,
+        "snapshot_id": manifest["snapshot_id"],
+        "corpus_hash": manifest["corpus_hash"],
+        "reference_frame": REFERENCE_FRAME,
+        "n_articles": len(articles),
+        "n_stories": len(stories),
+        "axis_inertia_share": round(axis.inertia_share, 6),
+        "orientation": {
+            "method": "party-mean speech embeddings (ADR-0003)",
+            "correlation": round(orientation.correlation, 6),
+            "reliable": orientation.reliable,
+        },
+        "outlets": outlets_out,
+    }
+
+
+def write(ratings: dict, out_dir: str | Path) -> Path:
+    """Deterministic serialization: same ratings dict, same bytes."""
+    path = Path(out_dir) / f"ratings-{ratings['snapshot_id']}.json"
+    path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
+    path.write_text(json.dumps(ratings, indent=1, sort_keys=True, ensure_ascii=False) + "\n")
+    return path
+
+
+def story_details(conn: sqlite3.Connection, manifest: dict) -> tuple[list, np.ndarray, list]:
+    """Recompute stories + matrix + story axis coords for evidence pages."""
+    articles = manifest["articles"]
+    vectors = embed.embed_hashes(conn, [a["content_hash"] for a in articles])
+    stories = cluster_articles(vectors, [a["outlet"] for a in articles])
+    matrix = coverage_matrix(stories, manifest["outlets"])
+    return stories, matrix, articles
+
+
+def stories_json(stories: list, articles: list, manifest: dict) -> dict:
+    """The side-by-side primitive for consumers: who covered each story, how
+    each headlined it. Deterministic; same clusters the scores were built on."""
+    return {
+        "schema_version": RATINGS_SCHEMA_VERSION,
+        "snapshot_id": manifest["snapshot_id"],
+        "corpus_hash": manifest["corpus_hash"],
+        "stories": [
+            {
+                "story_id": s.story_id,
+                "n_outlets": len(s.outlets),
+                "articles": [
+                    {
+                        "outlet": articles[i]["outlet"],
+                        "title": articles[i]["title"],
+                        "url": articles[i]["url"],
+                        "published": articles[i]["published"],
+                    }
+                    for i in s.article_indices
+                ],
+            }
+            for s in stories
+        ],
+    }
+
+
+def write_stories(payload: dict, out_dir: str | Path) -> Path:
+    path = Path(out_dir) / f"stories-{payload['snapshot_id']}.json"
+    path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
+    path.write_text(json.dumps(payload, indent=1, sort_keys=True, ensure_ascii=False) + "\n")
+    return path
@@ -0,0 +1,113 @@
+"""How does other software get the numbers?
+
+tiltmeter is a data layer: it computes ratings; separate software visualizes
+them. This module is the delivery end — a small, read-only HTTP API over the
+releases directory. No framework, no state, no writes: every response is a
+file the pipeline already produced, so serving adds nothing to audit.
+
+  GET /health                      liveness + what's available
+  GET /outlets                     outlet list incl. sourced ownership data
+  GET /ratings                     list of snapshot ids with ratings
+  GET /ratings/latest              newest ratings.json
+  GET /ratings/{snapshot_id}       specific ratings.json
+  GET /stories/{snapshot_id}       story clusters: who covered what, headlines
+  GET /manifests/{snapshot_id}     corpus manifest (for verifiers)
+  GET /evidence/{snapshot_id}/     evidence index + per-outlet pages
+
+CORS is wide open: the data is public and consumers are other people's
+frontends. Snapshot ids sort lexicographically by date, so "latest" is just
+the maximum.
+"""
+
+import json
+import logging
+import re
+from http.server import BaseHTTPRequestHandler, ThreadingHTTPServer
+from pathlib import Path
+
+log = logging.getLogger("tiltmeter.serve")
+
+SNAPSHOT_ID_RE = re.compile(r"^\d{4}-\d{2}-\d{2}_\d{4}-\d{2}-\d{2}$")
+OUTLET_PAGE_RE = re.compile(r"^[a-z0-9-]+\.md$|^index\.md$")
+DEFAULT_PORT = 8477
+
+
+def _ratings_ids(releases: Path) -> list[str]:
+    return sorted(
+        p.stem.removeprefix("ratings-") for p in releases.glob("ratings-*.json")
+    )
+
+
+def make_handler(releases: Path, outlets_config: Path | None = None):
+    outlets_payload = None
+    if outlets_config and outlets_config.is_file():
+        import yaml
+
+        outlets_payload = {"outlets": yaml.safe_load(outlets_config.read_text())["outlets"]}
+
+    class Handler(BaseHTTPRequestHandler):
+        server_version = "tiltmeter"
+
+        def _send(self, code: int, body: bytes, content_type: str) -> None:
+            self.send_response(code)
+            self.send_header("Content-Type", content_type)
+            self.send_header("Content-Length", str(len(body)))
+            self.send_header("Access-Control-Allow-Origin", "*")
+            self.send_header("Cache-Control", "public, max-age=300")
+            self.end_headers()
+            self.wfile.write(body)
+
+        def _json(self, code: int, payload) -> None:
+            self._send(code, json.dumps(payload).encode(), "application/json")
+
+        def _file(self, path: Path, content_type: str) -> None:
+            if path.is_file():
+                self._send(200, path.read_bytes(), content_type)
+            else:
+                self._json(404, {"error": "not found"})
+
+        def do_GET(self) -> None:  # noqa: N802 - stdlib API
+            parts = [p for p in self.path.split("?")[0].split("/") if p]
+            ids = _ratings_ids(releases)
+            match parts:
+                case ["health"]:
+                    self._json(200, {"status": "ok", "ratings": ids})
+                case ["ratings"]:
+                    self._json(200, {"snapshots": ids})
+                case ["ratings", "latest"] if ids:
+                    self._file(releases / f"ratings-{ids[-1]}.json", "application/json")
+                case ["ratings", sid] if SNAPSHOT_ID_RE.match(sid):
+                    self._file(releases / f"ratings-{sid}.json", "application/json")
+                case ["outlets"] if outlets_payload:
+                    self._json(200, outlets_payload)
+                case ["stories", sid] if SNAPSHOT_ID_RE.match(sid):
+                    self._file(releases / f"stories-{sid}.json", "application/json")
+                case ["manifests", sid] if SNAPSHOT_ID_RE.match(sid):
+                    self._file(releases / f"manifest-{sid}.json", "application/json")
+                case ["evidence", sid] if SNAPSHOT_ID_RE.match(sid):
+                    self._file(releases / f"report-{sid}" / "index.md", "text/markdown")
+                case ["evidence", sid, page] if (
+                    SNAPSHOT_ID_RE.match(sid) and OUTLET_PAGE_RE.match(page)
+                ):
+                    self._file(releases / f"report-{sid}" / page, "text/markdown")
+                case _:
+                    self._json(404, {"error": "not found"})
+
+        def log_message(self, fmt: str, *args) -> None:
+            log.info("%s %s", self.address_string(), fmt % args)
+
+    return Handler
+
+
+def run(
+    releases_dir: str | Path,
+    host: str = "0.0.0.0",
+    port: int = DEFAULT_PORT,
+    outlets_config: str | Path = "config/outlets.yaml",
+) -> None:
+    releases = Path(releases_dir)
+    server = ThreadingHTTPServer(
+        (host, port), make_handler(releases, Path(outlets_config))
+    )
+    log.info("serving %s on %s:%d", releases, host, port)
+    server.serve_forever()
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+"""Does orientation flip the axis when — and only when — it should?
+
+Pure-function tests: no model, no network. The embedding-dependent parts
+(party means from real speeches) are exercised by the live `tiltmeter run`;
+what must never regress silently is the flip decision and its honesty about
+weak agreement.
+"""
+
+import numpy as np
+
+from tiltmeter import orient
+
+
+def test_correctly_oriented_axis_is_kept():
+    axis = [-0.9, -0.5, 0.0, 0.4, 0.8]  # already: left negative
+    proxy = [-0.10, -0.06, 0.01, 0.05, 0.09]  # closer to R language as we go right
+    result = orient.orient_sign(axis, proxy)
+    assert result.sign == 1
+    assert result.correlation > 0.9
+    assert result.reliable
+
+
+def test_backwards_axis_is_flipped():
+    axis = [0.9, 0.5, 0.0, -0.4, -0.8]  # backwards: left ended up positive
+    proxy = [-0.10, -0.06, 0.01, 0.05, 0.09]
+    result = orient.orient_sign(axis, proxy)
+    assert result.sign == -1
+    assert result.correlation < -0.9
+
+
+def test_weak_agreement_is_flagged_unreliable():
+    rng = np.random.default_rng(3)
+    axis = list(rng.normal(size=12))
+    proxy = list(rng.normal(size=12))  # unrelated
+    result = orient.orient_sign(axis, proxy)
+    assert not result.reliable
+
+
+def test_spearman_matches_known_value():
+    # perfect monotone but nonlinear relation: rank correlation must be 1
+    a = np.array([1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0])
+    assert orient._spearman(a, a**3) == 1.0
+    assert orient._spearman(a, -(a**3)) == -1.0
@@ -0,0 +1,89 @@
+"""Does the API serve exactly what the pipeline produced — and nothing else?
+
+Spins the real server on an ephemeral port over a fixture releases dir.
+The contract: pipeline outputs are served verbatim, unknown paths 404,
+path traversal is impossible by construction (strict id/page regexes).
+"""
+
+import http.client
+import json
+import threading
+from http.server import ThreadingHTTPServer
+
+import pytest
+
+from tiltmeter import serve
+
+
+@pytest.fixture()
+def api(tmp_path):
+    (tmp_path / "ratings-2026-07-01_2026-07-15.json").write_text('{"snapshot_id": "old"}')
+    (tmp_path / "ratings-2026-07-10_2026-07-24.json").write_text('{"snapshot_id": "new"}')
+    (tmp_path / "manifest-2026-07-10_2026-07-24.json").write_text('{"articles": []}')
+    (tmp_path / "stories-2026-07-10_2026-07-24.json").write_text('{"stories": []}')
+    report = tmp_path / "report-2026-07-10_2026-07-24"
+    report.mkdir()
+    (report / "index.md").write_text("# Evidence index")
+    (report / "fox-news.md").write_text("# Evidence: fox-news")
+    outlets = tmp_path / "outlets.yaml"
+    outlets.write_text(
+        "outlets:\n"
+        "  - name: fox-news\n"
+        "    homepage: https://www.foxnews.com\n"
+        "    feed: https://example.com/feed\n"
+        "    ownership: {owner: Fox Corporation, type: public-company}\n"
+    )
+
+    server = ThreadingHTTPServer(
+        ("127.0.0.1", 0), serve.make_handler(tmp_path, outlets)
+    )
+    thread = threading.Thread(target=server.serve_forever, daemon=True)
+    thread.start()
+    yield server.server_address[1]
+    server.shutdown()
+
+
+def get(port, path):
+    conn = http.client.HTTPConnection("127.0.0.1", port, timeout=5)
+    conn.request("GET", path)
+    resp = conn.getresponse()
+    return resp.status, resp.read(), dict(resp.getheaders())
+
+
+def test_health_and_listing(api):
+    status, body, headers = get(api, "/health")
+    assert status == 200
+    assert json.loads(body)["ratings"] == [
+        "2026-07-01_2026-07-15",
+        "2026-07-10_2026-07-24",
+    ]
+    assert headers["Access-Control-Allow-Origin"] == "*"
+
+
+def test_latest_is_newest_snapshot(api):
+    status, body, _ = get(api, "/ratings/latest")
+    assert status == 200
+    assert json.loads(body)["snapshot_id"] == "new"
+
+
+def test_specific_ratings_manifest_and_evidence(api):
+    assert json.loads(get(api, "/ratings/2026-07-01_2026-07-15")[1])["snapshot_id"] == "old"
+    assert get(api, "/manifests/2026-07-10_2026-07-24")[0] == 200
+    assert b"Evidence index" in get(api, "/evidence/2026-07-10_2026-07-24")[1]
+    assert b"fox-news" in get(api, "/evidence/2026-07-10_2026-07-24/fox-news.md")[1]
+
+
+def test_outlets_and_stories_endpoints(api):
+    status, body, _ = get(api, "/outlets")
+    assert status == 200
+    outlet = json.loads(body)["outlets"][0]
+    assert outlet["ownership"]["owner"] == "Fox Corporation"
+    assert json.loads(get(api, "/stories/2026-07-10_2026-07-24")[1]) == {"stories": []}
+    assert get(api, "/stories/nonsense")[0] == 404
+
+
+def test_unknown_and_hostile_paths_404(api):
+    assert get(api, "/ratings/nonsense")[0] == 404
+    assert get(api, "/evidence/2026-07-10_2026-07-24/../../etc/passwd")[0] == 404
+    assert get(api, "/evidence/2026-07-10_2026-07-24/%2e%2e%2fsecrets.md")[0] == 404
+    assert get(api, "/")[0] == 404
@@ -1,6 +1,10 @@
 version = 1
 revision = 3
 requires-python = ">=3.13"
+resolution-markers = [
+    "sys_platform != 'darwin'",
+    "sys_platform == 'darwin'",
+]

 [[package]]
 name = "annotated-doc"
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