Re-cut roadmap after Prisoner Realism deep scan

Mapped Prisoner Realism (11.3k subs, good) feature-by-feature. It owns 20
prisoner-behavior systems, several of which were on our build list. Under the
standing "keep good incumbents" rule:

- DELETE our reintegration+recidivism module. PR's Recidivism is complete and
  good. Parole keeps only the ideology-driven release decision (self-complete);
  PR supplies the return outcome when present.
- RE-SCOPE Classification to a pure router (reads record + propensity, assigns a
  tier). PR's Solitary owns the isolation toll.
- RE-SCOPE Gangs to contraband economies. PR's Ringleader owns mood contagion.
- NARROW the escape tool to the wall-cut path for ward patients and low-skill
  pawns PR's break/lockpick system never moves.

Sharpens Institution's uncontested core: hidden-contraband + search, propensity
across all pawns, Ward, Foul Play, classification-as-router, and policing free
colonists (the crime loop turned on your own colony).

ROADMAP.md

@@ -208,24 +208,33 @@ ideology-driven *decision*, not another timer.
 
 ---
 
-## Gangs
+## Gangs — as contraband economies (NOT mood)
 
-Untouched by any mod. Prisoners (and colonists) form gangs / factions with rivalries that drive
+Re-scoped 2026-07-15: Prisoner Realism's **Ringleader** already owns mood contagion from a dominant
-violence and run contraband networks. Ties to disposition (who joins), contraband (what they move),
+prisoner, and it is good — so we do not touch mood. Our gap is the **contraband network**: prisoners
+(and colonists) form factions that *move contraband* — a supply chain with a supplier, runners, and a
+tax, where segregating rivals (Classification) starves a network and a bent warden (Corruption) feeds
+one. Ties to disposition (who joins), contraband (what they move, the one system PR has nothing like),
 and classification (segregate rivals). The richest, latest module — build after the loop works.
 
 ---
 
 ## Build order (fills the meta-gap: don't build it all at once)
 
-1. **The crime loop core** — discover + witnesses + investigate + attribute. Without it the whole
+1. **The crime loop core** — discover + witnesses + investigate + attribute, applied to **free
+   colonists** (the uncontested gap: vanilla+PR already handle prisoner arrest). Without it the whole
    crime thesis is inert. Build *before* individual crime types.
 2. **Regime** — schedule (vanilla Restrict) + one or two modest needs. Cheap, high-value, and it
    feeds the disposition engine (neglect → crime).
 3. **Visitation** — greenfield, thematically strong for the ward, doubles as a contraband route.
-4. **Parole / discharge / manumission** — gives Ward and good behaviour a payoff; ideology-driven.
+4. **Parole / discharge / manumission** — the *release decision*, ideology-driven (the return
-5. **Classification**, then **punishment-orders**, then **corruption**.
+   outcome is Prisoner Realism's Recidivism, not ours). Gives Ward and good behaviour a payoff.
-6. **Gangs** — last; needs the rest in place.
+5. **Classification** (a router that reads the record + propensity and assigns a tier), then
+   **punishment-orders**, then **corruption**.
+6. **Gangs** as contraband economies — last; needs the rest in place.
+
+Cut on 2026-07-15 (Prisoner Realism owns them, and it is good): reintegration/recidivism, the
+isolation toll, mood-contagion gangs. We coexist with all three; we rebuild none.
 
 Already in flight (Contraband/Foul Play): hooch, improvised weapons, fire-starter, escape tools,
 intake search, secure areas. See [Contraband ROADMAP](https://git.onetick.ninja/flan/rimworld-contraband).
@@ -283,17 +292,54 @@ What this changes vs. a naive "defer to whoever got there first":
 - **Recreation is ours to enable.** Prisoner Recreation (38k) and Prisoner Realism (11k) ship no
   custom need — they just flip on the *vanilla Joy need* for prisoners. We do the same in our
   needs system: idempotent, coexists, zero dependency, no citing.
-- **Release-outcome / recidivism** — build a modest self-complete version (reformed → less return;
+- **Release-outcome / recidivism → DEFER ENTIRELY to Prisoner Realism.** (Revised after the
-  abused → returns hostile). Prisoner Realism's deeper recidivism coexists; we don't require it.
+  2026-07-15 deep scan below.) PR's Recidivism is a genuinely good, complete sim — a released or
-- **Solitary/isolation consequence** — a light version of our own so Discipline is self-complete;
+  escaped prisoner returns much later as a grateful ally or a vengeful raider, scaled by how they
-  Realism's deeper toll coexists.
+  were treated. Rebuilding even a "modest" version would duplicate good work. Our Parole module's
-- **Escape** is already self-complete: vanilla mental-break breaks + our disposition-driven arming
+  *crucial loop* is the **release decision itself** (ideology-driven), and that is self-complete: a
-  + our patient tunnel. Realism's lockpick/ringleaders are enhancements on top, not gaps we leave.
+  released pawn simply leaves (vanilla). The *return outcome* is not our loop to close — it lights
+  up for free when PR is present and is simply absent otherwise. No dependency, nothing rebuilt.
+- **Solitary / isolation toll → DEFER to Prisoner Realism.** PR's Solitary is a full 3-tier
+  deterioration hediff with a Ringleader counterplay. Our Classification module does NOT
+  reimplement the toll; it is a **router** — it reads the shared record + propensity and *assigns*
+  the security tier (including whether to isolate). PR (or vanilla) then supplies the consequence of
+  that assignment. Routing is the gap; the isolation sim is not.
+- **Escape** is self-complete: vanilla mental-break breaks + our disposition-driven arming + our
+  **contraband-tool wall-cut**, which is scoped precisely to the pawns PR's break system does NOT
+  move — chiefly ward patients (never "mood prisoners") and pawns too low-skill to pick a lock. PR
+  owns the skilled-lockpick-a-DOOR-during-a-break path; we own the slow-file-through-a-WALL path for
+  the calmly-committed. Complementary, not overlapping.
 
 Genuinely leave alone (giant + redundant + not a gap in our loops): forced labor (Prison Labor
 176k), hygiene (Dubs Bad Hygiene 632k), crime *traits* (Vanilla Traits Expanded 646k — we consume
 them as nature inputs), guest hosting (Hospitality 798k). Coexist with all; depend on none.
 
+### Prisoner Realism deep scan (2026-07-15) — the big incumbent, mapped feature-by-feature
+
+Prisoner Realism (Steam `3760196312`, **11,286 subs / 1,090 favs / 5-star**, published 2026-07-07)
+is the one incumbent large enough to reshape our roadmap. It is a *good* mod (clean documented C#,
+multi-factor balance, defers to other mods where they overlap), so the standing rule says keep it
+and cut our overlaps. Its 20 features and our verdicts:
+
+| PR feature | What it does | Institution verdict |
+|---|---|---|
+| PrisonBreak rework | MTB scaled by mood/relation/captor/strength | Defer. Our arming rides vanilla/PR breaks. |
+| No-mining / melee breakout | strips sapper-dig; escapees bash doors | Defer. Our wall-cut is a *tool* route, additive. |
+| Keys / Lockpick | skilled prisoner picks a DOOR, fast, no item | Defer. We own file-through-a-WALL for non-break pawns. |
+| Recidivism | released/escaped return ally-or-raider by treatment | **Defer entirely.** Was on our list; dropped. |
+| Institutionalized | expectation decay + reintegration struggle | Defer. Kills our "reintegration" build. |
+| Solitary | 3-tier isolation deterioration | Defer the toll; Classification only *routes* to it. |
+| Ringleader | mood contagion from dominant prisoner | Defer. Re-scopes our Gangs to contraband-networks. |
+| Riot | securely-caged-but-miserable → lash out | Defer. |
+| ArrestGrace / ArrestHere | in-place arrest, no immediate bolt | Defer. Our intake (keep-inventory + search) coexists. |
+| Recreation | flips on vanilla Joy for prisoners | We enable the same idempotently (no citing). |
+| Surrender, ForceFeed, RecruitOffer, Despair, Turrets, Cleaning, Carry, BedOwner, Surgery, Commons, AssistedBreak | assorted prisoner-behavior sims | Defer all; coexist. |
+
+Net effect: **one planned module deleted** (reintegration+recidivism), **two re-scoped** (Classification
+→ pure router; Gangs → contraband economy, not mood). What remains is Institution's uncontested core:
+hidden-contraband + search, propensity across *all* pawns, Ward, Foul Play, classification-as-router,
+and the standout nobody touches — **policing free colonists** (the crime loop turned on your own colony).
+
 ### Prior-art sweeps done (2026-07-14/15)
 
 Uncontested gaps, safe to build clean: contraband/search, improvised weapons, keep-inventory